What's the probabolty that we won't have a 2011 NFL season?

As the title suggests, this post will be my take on the possibility of not playing NFL football in 2011. As an avid Cleveland Browns fan I continually think that "next year will be better" just like most of Cleveland. But a year with nothing going on would tear this city apart. I remember not having football to cheer for when the Browns were moved to Baltimore. With no end in site of the current labor disputes the season, though it is still months away, is in serious jeopardy. The league insists on conducting business as usual until any definitive decision has been made, but with the ending of the collective bargaining agreement and the players being placed in a "lockout" they are not allowed in team facilities. In my opinion, with the situation in such a dire position I would say the chances of NFL football being played this season is a 50% probability.